Oracle · BTC / ETH

Oracle

Estimates the probability of real events, records each estimate before the outcome is known, and scores it against what actually happened. Live board begins with Bitcoin and Ethereum.

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44resolved
0.21brier score
0active
  • oracle believesBTC

    Bitcoin above $150,000 by year end?

    133 days remainingConfidence 62% +2% this weekIllustrative
    41%probability
  • oracle believesETH

    Ethereum above $8,000 this year?

    133 days remainingConfidence 58% -3% this weekIllustrative
    28%probability
  • oracle believesBTC

    Bitcoin above $100,000 this month?

    11 days remainingConfidence 71% +4% this weekIllustrative
    67%probability
  • oracle believesETH

    Ethereum below $2,000 this year?

    133 days remainingConfidence 55% +1% this weekIllustrative
    22%probability
  • oracle believesBTC

    Bitcoin all-time high this month?

    11 days remainingConfidence 60% -5% this weekIllustrative
    19%probability
  • oracle believesETH

    Ethereum all-time high this year?

    133 days remainingConfidence 57%Illustrative
    36%probability

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Board · Kalshi BTC / ETH · Updated Aug 21, 2026, 12:35 AM UTC · No performance claims