Instrument · designed

Glorya

Evaluating

Glorya is an instrument for allocating humanitarian capital only when intervention can change the outcome.

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Evaluated Standing down

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City markersHover for place · need · statusReal coordinates · evaluation only
Interactive dotted globe built from an Earth land mask. Soft marks show evaluated needs. No capital is live.
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Process

Evaluation scoreboard

Integrity and restraint first. Most evaluations stand down. Performance metrics wait for sealed outcomes after the first disbursement.

Evaluated needs12On the map · design layer
Active allocations0Live capital · none until gate
Completed outcomes0No sealed completions yet
Standing-down rate67%8 of 12 not funded
Calibration-Predicted vs actual after first outcomes

How it decides

Need is not enough. The path has to hold.

Hermes asks whether markets can carry a trade. Glorya asks whether capital can become real help on the ground. The method is the same: gates before money moves, evidence over story, stand down when the chain is broken. The domain is different: humanitarian need, not liquidity.

Deploy only when need and path both pass. Most evaluations result in no allocation.

What “path” means

  • Partners: who delivers on the ground with capacity and integrity, not a place name alone
  • Access: whether that partner can reach the people in need (logistics, permissions, last mile)
  • Regime: whether the environment is stable enough for aid to land and stick, not diverted, frozen, or made unsafe
  • Timing: whether this is the right window: crisis open, partners ready, capital ready, not already past

Three gates before capital

  • Need: is the need severe enough and verifiable, not rumor or headline alone?
  • Path: do partners and access exist so money can become delivery?
  • Regime & timing: can the environment and the window support a successful intervention now?

Then the lifecycle

  • Selection: where attention is warranted
  • Commitment: whether evidence is strong enough to allocate
  • Monitoring: whether evidence still holds after money moves
  • Exit / recycle: stay, reduce, or redirect when conditions change

Design layer

Evaluated places

Real cities and countries with WGS84 coordinates. Illustrative evaluations only: not offers, transfers, or impact claims.